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Obama's Wave and the New York Role Reversal
Lenora Fulani | Posted February 8, 2008 6:30 AM
New black political voices are emerging, searching for a new paradigm, new partnerships and a new way of doing politics.
Dr. Lenora Fulani is America's leading black political independent, a developmental psychologist and innovator in the field of supplemental education.
Super Tuesday may not have decided the Democratic or Republican presidential nominations. But it did redraw the map of black politics in some significant ways.
Black voters throughout the country - and particularly throughout the South - embraced the "new politic" message of the Barack Obama campaign. In Georgia, Obama polled 88% of the black vote, in Alabama 84 percent, in Arkansas 74 oercent, in Tennessee 77 percent. In the northeast, Obama polled 82 percent of the black vote in New Jersey and 74 percent in Connecticut. The most notable exception to this pattern was New York where Obama polled 61 percent of the black vote, his lowest percentage of African American support in any February 5th state.
There are obvious explanations for this differential. New York is Hillary Clinton's home state (at least it became her home in 2000) and she and her husband (remember him? he's the new invisible man) are the state's most persuasive power brokers. Just as Obama won his home state Illinois handily (64 to 33), Hillary racked up a New York win (57 to 40) over Obama by a smaller but still convincing margin.
She also carried New York City, where the majority of the state's black population resides, with Obama nearly outpolling her in Brooklyn, one of the city's five boroughs and often the seat of black political insurgencies. Not surprisingly, Obama prevailed over Hillary in three congressional districts. Brooklyn's 10th CD, represented by Congressman Ed Towns and 11th CD, represented by Congresswoman Yvette Clark, both of whom endorsed Clinton along with the 6th CD in Queens represented by another Hillary backer Congressman Greg Meeks. These districts yield a good number of delegates for Obama, and the anti-machine campaigns were led by a rising group of progressive black politicians - Councilman Charles Barron, State Senator Bill Perkins, State Senator Eric Adams and Assemblyman Karim Camara among them.
In contrast, all of New York's black members of Congress backed Hillary and helped produce her highest percentage of the black vote anywhere in the country - 37 percent. In Harlem, the seat of the black establishment, represented by Congressman Charles Rangel, Hillary beat Obama by 7½ points. Rev. Al Sharpton remained neutral, managing to avoid getting caught in the crossfire between the insurgent and establishment camps.
In many respects the New York story could be cast as a simple one - man vs. machine - where the man, Barack Obama and his visionary campaign was outpolled by an entrenched and powerful urban political machine with deep roots in Harlem. It would be that simple story but for the fact that the recent history of black politics in New York City includes a massive and unexpected uprising against the clubhouse by black voters.
In 2005, 47 percent of black voters rejected the Democratic Party mayoral candidate and voted for an Independent/Republican Mike Bloomberg instead. This outpouring against politics-as-usual and for nonpartisan political change briefly put New York in the national vanguard of a black electoral revolution. But on Super Tuesday, the roles were reversed. On February 5th, the Clinton machine fought back hard, making sure the Obama wave which swept the black South was dissipated before it hit the Empire State. Hillary repressed Obama's share of the black vote to well below the national average, making New York the rearguard of the larger sea change. The Brooklyn and Queens insurgencies kept the movement for black political independence alive, while the most resounding call for "turn the page" black politics came from everywhere else in the country.
There was another "trend within the trend" which I, as an independent, not a Democrat (I couldn't vote on February 5th because New York is a closed primary state) noted with interest. That is the emergence of a discernible constituency - the black independent.
Exit polling picked up this trend for the first time on Super Tuesday. And here are what some of the numbers show. In Massachusetts 33 percent of black voters who cast ballots in the Democratic primary self-identified as independents. In Missouri it was 18 percent.
In Connecticut the number was 22 percent, in California 14 percent, in New Jersey 13 percent, in Tennessee 17 percent. Among black independents, the support for Obama appears to have been astronomical. For example, in Georgia, where 12 percent of all African American voters in the Democratic primary were independents, 97 percent of those cast ballots for Obama.
From here, the presidential race moves on to hand-to-hand combat between Obama and Clinton for delegates. Meanwhile, new black political voices are emerging, searching for a new paradigm, new partnerships and a new way of doing politics.
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Alán Alán Apurim commented on Obama's Wave and the New York Role Reversal:
Nowhere on the website do I see mention of the candidacy of Cynthia McKinney, former Democrat who in... -
M commented on Obama's Wave and the New York Role Reversal:
KJeroH, I'm trying to follow your reasoning. 1) Are you saying that Obama is a divider because he ... -
KJeroH commented on Obama's Wave and the New York Role Reversal:
I worry about a near universal outpouring for someone so willing to split the opposition against t... -
M commented on Obama's Wave and the New York Role Reversal:
Jeff Roby, You might be right. Obama's campaign might not have explicitly ask the "leaders" of the... -
jeff roby commented on Obama's Wave and the New York Role Reversal:
Why did Obama fare so badly in Harlem relative to the rest of the country (and state)? Well, what d...



February 9, 2008 5:14 AM
Thank you thank you! It is very interesting. I always questioned the move by the Clintons to New York after Bill left office.
Praises to the growing number of new black political voices who as you say "are emerging, searching for a new paradigm, new partnerships and a new way of doing politics."
It's desperately needed. I think Drs. Joycelyn Elders and Bill Cosby were key public figures in shaking things loose a bit.
February 9, 2008 11:15 AM
It's great to see so many who care and want to see change in the way this nation has been doing things. I am happy that many black voters want change just like many whites as well. Hopefully we can also get to the point where all this labeling by skin color can also be done away with!
February 9, 2008 4:30 PM
Why did Obama fare so badly in Harlem relative to the rest of the country (and state)? Well, what did the IPNY do for Obama? What did CUIP do for Obama?
Fulani mentor Fred Newman -- in his Talk Talk column along with Jackie Salit -- regularly wrote good things about Obama. But he never said people should vote for him.
The independent Hankster website didn't support Obama. Rather, while sometimes writing favorably, it constantly complained that Obama wasn't doing enough to seek the independent vote, and Nancy Hanks just wrote, "I don't know that I would endorse Barack Obama unless he asked me to (Which he has not.)"
The Independence Party of New York didn't support Obama. The New York City chapters didn't come out four-square for Obama. No such public statements that I could find.
Independent community members went to Harlem to support Obama in the last days of the race. But too little too late.
What we have here is a clear case of chutzpah -- killing your parents then asking the judge for mercy because you're an orphan!
Jeff Roby
February 10, 2008 4:07 PM
Jeff Roby,
You might be right. Obama's campaign might not have explicitly ask the "leaders" of the independent organizations for help. Hopefully they are doing that now - if that's what it takes. However I see thousands of people who are volunteering in so many ways to get Barack in to the Oval Office and Michelle into the White House.
It really is MOST impressive and inspiring when people don't so-much wait to be asked, explicitly.
February 11, 2008 2:16 PM
I worry about a near universal outpouring for someone so willing to split the opposition against the current regime. While Sen. Obama is a welcome lightening rod for Independents to coalesce around, he is also still very much a politician. His recent campaign has sought to highlight Sen. Clinton's divisive aspects. He has gone as far as to claim she cannot be elected, repeating much of the Republican blather of a year ago. The level of his negativity has prompted worries that he will not support Clinton if she is the nominee. (Michelle Obama's comments confirm she will not.) Although Obama claims to be a unifier, he plays strongly upon a rift within the opposition and seems to be widening it. He has gone as far as to claim that Clinton's supporters will back him, but he can't guarantee his supporters will back her -- which is more a comment of ego than fact. (Many voters are not convinced Obama is the person to represent the US in a very dangerous world. Some of his comments on foreign policy have been perceived as naive. Faced with McCain or Obama with renewed international fears, people who support Clinton could very well run to McCain for security. In 2004, too many people held their nose and voted against Kerry.) I hope Obama is a representative of change. But if someone cannot change the tone of a campaign, how much change can you expect from his Administration?
February 12, 2008 8:40 PM
KJeroH,
I'm trying to follow your reasoning.
1) Are you saying that Obama is a divider because he has not subordinated himself to the Beltway system?
2) Are you saying that Obama is a divider because he has set himself apart (even as a politician) from the players of the Beltway system?
3) Are you suggesting that Obama will dismantle the military, National Guard, police, fire, emergency systems in our country? I don't find anything in his speeches, writings or legislations on the state or federal level that support this.
April 9, 2008 8:02 AM
Nowhere on the website do I see mention of the candidacy of Cynthia McKinney, former Democrat who in the first video "Candidate Announcement" on her website http://runcynthiarun.org explains in seven minutes why she now embraces the values of the Green Party. The third of five videos listed there, "American Blackout," is a two-hour historical documentary on American politics from early years through her father's involvement in the Civil Rights Era down to her own marginalization by the Democratic Party. Well worth watching for a revealing inside-view!